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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
10 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Auckland started on 54%; Auckland batted first.
Auckland's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KG Andersonlbw · Bree Illing 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Bree Illing | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| KP Irwinbowled · Bree Illing 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bree Illing | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Izzy Sharpcaught · A Lambat · Maddy Green 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Lambat · b Maddy Green | 42 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 107.69 |
| J Deancaught · JO Penfold · Bella Armstrong 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JO Penfold · b Bella Armstrong | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| AG Gerkenrun out · Izzy Gaze, Bella Armstrong · JO Penfold 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Izzy Gaze, Bella Armstrong | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Izzy Gaze · b Molly Penfold |
| 3 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 27.27 |
 Lea Tahuhucaught · P Catton · Molly Penfold0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Catton · b Molly Penfold | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| MJ Banksbowled · A Lambat 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Lambat | 15 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| AG Hottoncaught · Maddy Green · Molly Penfold 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maddy Green · b Molly Penfold | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Gabby Sullivannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| SR Asmussencaught · Maddy Green · A Lambat 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maddy Green · b A Lambat | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Illing0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| AT Hucker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Bella Armstrong0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Molly Penfold1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| JO Penfold0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Maddy Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| A Lambat1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (KP Irwin, 1.0) · 2-12 (KG Anderson, 4.2) · 3-32 (J Dean, 7.5) · 4-33 (AG Gerken, 8.1) · 5-46 (DRH Prasad, 10.3) · 6-46 (Lea Tahuhu, 11.0) · 7-73 (Izzy Sharp, 15.5) · 8-79 (AG Hotton, 17.0) · 9-79 (MJ Banks, 17.2) · 10-91 (SR Asmussen, 19.4)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 20/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 29/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 32/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 39/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 46/4 |
| 11 | 0 | 46/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 51/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 56/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 62/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 69/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 74/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 79/8 |
| 18 | 0 | 79/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 85/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 91/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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