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South Africa Women tour of India · 2024 · Women
16 Jun 2024 · ODI
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 52%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laura Wolvaardtbowled · Renuka Singh1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Renuka Singh | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tazmin Britscaught · Radha Yadav · Deepti Sharma 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Deepti Sharma | 18 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 58.06 |
| Anne Boschlbw · Pooja Vastrakar 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Pooja Vastrakar | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
| Suné Luuslbw · Deepti Sharma 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Deepti Sharma | 33 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 56.90 |
 Marizanne Kappcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Asha Sobhana1 fours · 1 sixes |
India's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (South Africa: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Asha Sobhana |
| 24 |
| 39 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 61.54 |
| Annerie Dercksenrun out · Jemimah Rodrigues, Richa Ghosh · Asha Sobhana 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jemimah Rodrigues, Richa Ghosh | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8.33 |
|---|
| Nondumiso Shangaselbw · Radha Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Radha Yadav | 8 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Sinalo Jaftanot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 27* | 30 | 4 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Masabata Klaascaught · Radha Yadav · Asha Sobhana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Asha Sobhana | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Nonkululeko Mlababowled · Asha Sobhana0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asha Sobhana | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ayabonga Khakacaught · Richa Ghosh · Asha Sobhana0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Asha Sobhana | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Renuka Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 4.29 | 0 | 0 |
 Pooja Vastrakar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 3.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Asha Sobhana2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.4 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 2.42 | 0 | 0 |
 Harmanpreet Kaur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Laura Wolvaardt, 0.4) · 2-21 (Anne Bosch, 5.2) · 3-33 (Tazmin Brits, 10.1) · 4-72 (Marizanne Kapp, 21.3) · 5-74 (Annerie Dercksen, 23.4) · 6-92 (Suné Luus, 28.3) · 7-103 (Nondumiso Shangase, 32.5) · 8-120 (Masabata Klaas, 35.3) · 9-120 (Nonkululeko Mlaba, 36.0) · 10-122 (Ayabonga Khaka, 37.4)
Recorded target: 266 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 21/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 26/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 29/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 34/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 37/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 39/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 43/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 52/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 55/3 |
| 19 | 12 | 67/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 69/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 71/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 72/4 |
| 23 | 2 | 74/4 |
| 24 | 0 | 74/5 |
| 25 | 8 | 82/5 |
| 26 | 2 | 84/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 85/5 |
| 28 | 7 | 92/5 |
| 29 | 1 | 93/6 |
| 30 | 1 | 94/6 |
| 31 | 2 | 96/6 |
| 32 | 6 | 102/6 |
| 33 | 1 | 103/7 |
| 34 | 11 | 114/7 |
| 35 | 6 | 120/7 |
| 36 | 0 | 120/9 |
| 37 | 1 | 121/9 |
| 38 | 1 | 122/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pooja Vastrakar: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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