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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
17 Jan 2026 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 46%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 54% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Sam Elliott4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b Sam Elliott | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 146.67 |
| Matthew Shortcaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · C Stow 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b C Stow | 30 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 136.36 |
 Chris Lynnnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 27* | 25 | 3 | 0 | 108.00 |
| Liam Scottnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 10 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Brendan Doggett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Elliott0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.5 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 8.18 | 0 | 1 |
| MW Archer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| C Stow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-37 (Alex Carey, 3.3) · 2-67 (Matthew Short, 8.2)
Recorded target: 100 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 55/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 73/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 78/2 |
| 11 | 17 | 95/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 100/2 |
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jason Sangha: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brendan Doggett: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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