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Pakistan tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
5 Apr 2025 · ODI
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rhys Mariulbw · Sufyan Moqeem6 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Sufyan Moqeem | 58 | 61 | 6 | 2 | 95.08 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Abdullah Shafique · Naseem Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Naseem Shah | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Mohammad Wasim · Akif Javed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Wasim · b Akif Javed | 31 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 77.50 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Akif Javed 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Akif Javed | 43 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 81.13 |
| Tim Seifertcaught · Tayyab Tahir · Naseem Shah 1 fours · 1 sixes |
| 26 |
| 29 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 89.66 |
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Naseem Shah · Akif Javed 1 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Naseem Shah · b Akif Javed | 59 | 40 | 1 | 6 | 147.50 |
|---|
 Muhammad Abbascaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Akif Javed0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Akif Javed | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Mitchell Haycaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Fahim Ashraf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Fahim Ashraf | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ben Searsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Naseem Shah0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Akif Javed1 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 62 | 4 | 7.75 | 4 | 2 |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 6.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammad Wasim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 5.88 | 1 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Nick Kelly, 3.0) · 2-91 (Henry Nicholls, 17.1) · 3-103 (Rhys Mariu, 20.2) · 4-164 (Tim Seifert, 31.1) · 5-186 (Daryl Mitchell, 34.2) · 6-211 (Muhammad Abbas, 37.2) · 7-244 (Mitchell Hay, 40.2) · 8-264 (Michael Bracewell, 42.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 41/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 54/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 61/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 65/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 67/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 75/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 83/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 87/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 91/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 91/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 97/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 102/2 |
| 21 | 7 | 109/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 115/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 117/3 |
| 24 | 10 | 127/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 131/3 |
| 26 | 5 | 136/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 139/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 141/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 145/3 |
| 30 | 9 | 154/3 |
| 31 | 10 | 164/3 |
| 32 | 1 | 165/4 |
| 33 | 7 | 172/4 |
| 34 | 9 | 181/4 |
| 35 | 18 | 199/5 |
| 36 | 8 | 207/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 211/5 |
| 38 | 5 | 216/6 |
| 39 | 14 | 230/6 |
| 40 | 12 | 242/6 |
| 41 | 9 | 251/7 |
| 42 | 13 | 264/8 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Usman Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
