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Photo: NZDF
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
5 Apr 2025 · ODI
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 5 Apr 2025, New Zealand played Pakistan at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. Recorded result: New Zealand won by 43 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.