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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Uganda) · 2024/25 · Women
14 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 65%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 5% to 81% during the match (Nepal: 19% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milescaught · R Airee · Puja Mahato 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Airee · b Puja Mahato | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadcaught · I Barma · R Airee 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · I Barma · b R Airee | 54 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 114.89 |
| Emma Lailbw · I Bist 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b I Bist | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Kary Chanbowled · R Airee 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Airee | 16 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 55.17 |
| Y Daswanibowled · I Barma 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b I Barma | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
| M Bibicaught · I Bist · R Airee0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · I Bist · b R Airee |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Joyleen Kaurnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| K Mahekdeepbowled · I Barma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b I Barma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Wai Siurun out · Puja Mahato · Puja Mahato 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Puja Mahato | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puja Mahato0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| I Bist0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 1 |
| I Barma1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Riya Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| R Chaudhary0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| R Airee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Natasha Miles, 0.2) · 2-5 (Emma Lai, 1.2) · 3-68 (Kary Chan, 12.3) · 4-89 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 15.0) · 5-99 (M Bibi, 16.5) · 6-99 (Y Daswani, 17.1) · 7-99 (K Mahekdeep, 17.2) · 8-104 (M Wai Siu, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 32/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 44/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 51/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 59/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 67/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 72/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 82/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 89/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 96/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 99/5 |
| 18 | 1 | 100/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 102/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 104/8 |
Bindu Rawal: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
