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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
2 Jan 2026 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 50%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 4% to 96% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 4% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Wildermuthcaught · Hilton Cartwright · Peter Siddle 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Peter Siddle | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Colin Munrocaught · Sam Harper · Tom Curran0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Harper · b Tom Curran | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Marcus Stoinis · Peter Siddle 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Marcus Stoinis · b Peter Siddle | 43 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 138.71 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Campbell Kellaway · Mitchell Swepson4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Campbell Kellaway · b Mitchell Swepson | 41 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 151.85 |
| Max Bryantnot out 3 fours · 4 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 48* |
| 26 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 184.62 |
| Hugh Weibgencaught · Sam Harper · Mitchell Swepson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Harper · b Mitchell Swepson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 James Peirsoncaught · Tom Curran · Haris Rauf1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Curran · b Haris Rauf | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 21* | 9 | 2 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Glenn Maxwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 |
 Haris Rauf0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 11.18 | 2 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-18 (Jack Wildermuth, 2.3) · 2-34 (Colin Munro, 4.1) · 3-103 (Nathan McSweeney, 12.0) · 4-107 (Matt Renshaw, 12.2) · 5-109 (Hugh Weibgen, 13.0) · 6-133 (James Peirson, 15.4)
Recorded target: 196 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 51/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 69/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 109/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 111/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 120/5 |
| 16 | 16 | 136/6 |
| 17 | 16 | 152/6 |
| 18 | 17 | 169/6 |
| 19 | 17 | 186/6 |
| 20 | 13 | 199/6 |
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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