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Nigeria Quadrangular T20 Series · 2026 · Men
21 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ghana started on 38%; Ghana batted first.
Ghana's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Nigeria: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selim Salaucaught and bowled · Vincent Ateak 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Vincent Ateak | 22 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 88.00 |
| Ali Rahmonbowled · Nitesh Hooda 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nitesh Hooda | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Isaac Danladinot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 52* | 41 | 6 | 1 | 126.83 |
| M Akhigbenot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 19* | 11 | 1 | 2 | 172.73 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitesh Hooda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls |
|---|
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| 27 |
| 1 |
| 9.00 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Vincent Ateak0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Obed Agbomadzie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| J Solomon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| P Yevugah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Richmond Baaleri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-1 (Ali Rahmon, 0.2) · 2-59 (Selim Salau, 9.1)
Recorded target: 92 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 36/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 59/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 61/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 68/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 76/2 |
| 13 | 19 | 95/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.