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Photo: Rorser at English Wikipedia
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Ireland Tri-Nation Women's T20I Series · 2026 · Women
29 May 2026 · T20
Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 56%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Pakistan: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muneeba Alibowled · Chinelle Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chinelle Henry | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Gull Ferozacaught · Mandy Mangru · Shawnisha Hector 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mandy Mangru · b Shawnisha Hector | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Saira Jabeencaught · Qiana Joseph · Ashmini Munisar 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Qiana Joseph · b Ashmini Munisar | 30 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 157.89 |
| Ayesha Zafarcaught · Jahzara Claxton · Chinelle Henry 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jahzara Claxton · b Chinelle Henry | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Rameen Shamimrun out · Jannillea Glasgow, Mandy Mangru · Afy Fletcher 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Jannillea Glasgow, Mandy Mangru | 18 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 112.50 |
| Iram Javedrun out · Jahzara Claxton, Mandy Mangru · Hayley Matthews 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jahzara Claxton, Mandy Mangru | 24 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Aliya Riazcaught · Mandy Mangru · Jahzara Claxton 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mandy Mangru · b Jahzara Claxton | 37 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 132.14 |
|---|
| Fatima Sanacaught · Deandra Dottin · Shawnisha Hector 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Deandra Dottin · b Shawnisha Hector | 27 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 192.86 |
|---|
| Diana Baignot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Nashra Sandhunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 12 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawnisha Hector0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Chinelle Henry0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Jahzara Claxton0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Ashmini Munisar0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 13.50 | 1 | 1 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 2 |
| Qiana Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Gull Feroza, 1.0) · 2-12 (Muneeba Ali, 2.0) · 3-28 (Ayesha Zafar, 3.5) · 4-52 (Saira Jabeen, 6.0) · 5-84 (Rameen Shamim, 10.1) · 6-112 (Iram Javed, 13.5) · 7-139 (Aliya Riaz, 16.3) · 8-170 (Fatima Sana, 19.2)
Recorded target: 200 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/3 |
| 6 | 18 | 52/4 |
| 7 | 8 | 60/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 69/4 |
| 10 | 14 | 83/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 91/5 |
| 12 | 8 | 99/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 109/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 112/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 117/6 |
| 16 | 21 | 138/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 141/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 150/7 |
| 19 | 18 | 168/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 174/8 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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