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Canada T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
2 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 39%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaqib Ilyascaught · Dipendra Singh Airee · Sandeep Lamichhane 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dipendra Singh Airee · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 22 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
| Kashyap Prajapaticaught · Kushal Bhurtel · R Dhakal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b R Dhakal | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Shoaib Khancaught · Aasif Sheikh · R Dhakal 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b R Dhakal | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
| Zeeshan Maqsoodcaught and bowled · Rohit Kumar 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught and bowled · b Rohit Kumar | 35 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 116.67 |
| Khalid Kailrun out · Dipendra Singh Airee · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dipendra Singh Airee | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Ayan Khancaught · Kushal Malla · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kushal Malla · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| Rafiullahcaught · Sompal Kami · Rohit Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sompal Kami · b Rohit Kumar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| PS Athavalecaught · Dipendra Singh Airee · Kushal Bhurtel 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dipendra Singh Airee · b Kushal Bhurtel | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Fiaz Bhuttstumped · Aasif Sheikh · Kushal Bhurtel 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Aasif Sheikh · b Kushal Bhurtel | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Sompal Kami · Kushal Bhurtel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sompal Kami · b Kushal Bhurtel | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Kaleemullahnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sompal Kami0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| R Dhakal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Gulsan Jha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Rohit Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Kushal Bhurtel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.5 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 5.45 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Kashyap Prajapati, 1.4) · 2-21 (Shoaib Khan, 3.2) · 3-61 (Aaqib Ilyas, 9.0) · 4-64 (Khalid Kail, 10.1) · 5-72 (Zeeshan Maqsood, 12.1) · 6-72 (Rafiullah, 12.3) · 7-85 (Ayan Khan, 14.1) · 8-94 (PS Athavale, 15.5) · 9-100 (Shakeel Ahmed, 17.2) · 10-101 (Fiaz Bhutt, 17.5)
Recorded target: 158 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 35/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 61/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 64/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 68/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 79/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 85/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 88/7 |
| 16 | 8 | 96/8 |
| 17 | 3 | 99/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 101/10 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
