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Photo: Sankarshan Mukhopadhyay from Pune, India
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
19 Dec 2024 · T20
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Navi Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 69%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (West Indies: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewscaught · Sajeevan Sajana · Radha Yadav1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sajeevan Sajana · b Radha Yadav | 22 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 129.41 |
| Qiana Josephcaught · Titas Sadhu · Sajeevan Sajana 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Titas Sadhu · b Sajeevan Sajana | 11 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 84.62 |
 Deandra Dottincaught · Radha Yadav · Titas Sadhu4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Titas Sadhu | 25 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 147.06 |
 Shemaine Campbellecaught · Smriti Mandhana · Deepti Sharma1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana |
| 17 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 154.55 |
 Chinelle Henrycaught · Raghvi Bist · Renuka Singh3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Raghvi Bist · b Renuka Singh | 43 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 268.75 |
|---|
| Nerissa Craftonrun out · Uma Chetry, Richa Ghosh · Radha Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Uma Chetry, Richa Ghosh | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
|---|
| Aaliyah Alleynebowled · Radha Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Radha Yadav | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Shabika Gajnabicaught · Sajeevan Sajana · Radha Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sajeevan Sajana · b Radha Yadav | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Zaida Jamescaught · Richa Ghosh · Radha Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Radha Yadav | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Afy Fletchernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 Karishma Ramharacknot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Renuka Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sajeevan Sajana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saima Thakor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Titas Sadhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 4 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-20 (Qiana Joseph, 3.5) · 2-57 (Hayley Matthews, 7.1) · 3-62 (Deandra Dottin, 8.1) · 4-96 (Shemaine Campbelle, 11.1) · 5-129 (Chinelle Henry, 14.4) · 6-136 (Aaliyah Alleyne, 15.3) · 7-137 (Nerissa Crafton, 15.5) · 8-142 (Shabika Gajnabi, 17.2) · 9-147 (Zaida James, 18.0)
Recorded target: 218 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 62/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 84/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 96/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 100/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 106/4 |
| 14 | 17 | 123/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 133/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 138/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 142/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 147/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 151/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 157/9 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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