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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
31 May 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 56%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Leus du Plooy · Tom Helm4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Tom Helm | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 185.71 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Tom Helm · Luke Hollman4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Luke Hollman | 38 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 158.33 |
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Joe Cracknell · Luke Hollman 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Luke Hollman | 29 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 111.54 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Tom Helm · Luke Hollman0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Luke Hollman |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Joe Denlycaught · Luke Hollman · Blake Cullen7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Blake Cullen | 56 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 169.70 |
|---|
 Joey Evisoncaught and bowled · Blake Cullen0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Blake Cullen | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Beyers Swanepoelcaught · Ryan Higgins · Blake Cullen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Blake Cullen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Marcus O'Riordancaught · Jack Davies · Tom Helm1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Davies · b Tom Helm | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 216.67 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Blake Cullen0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 11.75 | 2 | 2 |
| Henry Brookes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Leus du Plooy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-59 (Zak Crawley, 4.3) · 2-79 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 7.3) · 3-79 (Sam Billings, 7.4) · 4-127 (Tawanda Muyeye, 13.3) · 5-154 (Joey Evison, 16.2) · 6-158 (Beyers Swanepoel, 16.4) · 7-175 (Marcus O'Riordan, 17.5) · 8-201 (Joe Denly, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 51/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 62/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 70/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 78/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 79/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 88/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 96/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 101/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 113/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 126/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 129/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 137/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 152/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 163/6 |
| 18 | 15 | 178/7 |
| 19 | 13 | 191/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 205/8 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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