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Sri Lanka Women tour of Ireland · 2024 · Women
20 Aug 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 65%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Sri Lanka: 36% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbeslbw · Achini Kulasuriya 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Achini Kulasuriya | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| CE Coulter Reillycaught · Anushka Sanjeewani · Inoshi Priyadharshani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anushka Sanjeewani · b Inoshi Priyadharshani | 7 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 30.43 |
| Amy Huntercaught and bowled · Achini Kulasuriya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Achini Kulasuriya | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Orla Prendergastcaught · Anushka Sanjeewani · Achini Kulasuriya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anushka Sanjeewani · b Achini Kulasuriya | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Leah Paulcaught · Anushka Sanjeewani · Sachini Nisansala 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anushka Sanjeewani · b Sachini Nisansala | 19 | 53 | 1 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 0 |
| 35.85 |
| Rebecca Stokelllbw · Ama Kanchana 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ama Kanchana | 8 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Arlene Kellylbw · Chamari Atapattu 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Chamari Atapattu | 35 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| Ava Canningcaught · Ama Kanchana · Chamari Atapattu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ama Kanchana · b Chamari Atapattu | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| A Tectorstumped · Anushka Sanjeewani · Sachini Nisansala 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Anushka Sanjeewani · b Sachini Nisansala | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 58.62 |
|---|
| FA Sargentlbw · Chamari Atapattu 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Chamari Atapattu | 16 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguirenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 3.89 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inoshi Priyadharshani5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Ama Kanchana1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 2.80 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sachini Nisansala1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 35 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 8.3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 1.76 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Sarah Forbes, 0.1) · 2-0 (Amy Hunter, 0.2) · 3-10 (Orla Prendergast, 4.5) · 4-13 (CE Coulter Reilly, 8.0) · 5-28 (Rebecca Stokell, 14.3) · 6-64 (Leah Paul, 29.1) · 7-69 (Ava Canning, 30.2) · 8-82 (Arlene Kelly, 34.5) · 9-105 (A Tector, 42.0) · 10-122 (FA Sargent, 46.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 7/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 9/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 10/3 |
| 6 | 0 | 10/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 12/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 13/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 15/4 |
| 10 | 0 | 15/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 22/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 24/4 |
| 13 | 0 | 24/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 25/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 28/5 |
| 16 | 0 | 28/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 31/5 |
| 18 | 0 | 31/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 38/5 |
| 20 | 1 | 39/5 |
| 21 | 1 | 40/5 |
| 22 | 2 | 42/5 |
| 23 | 6 | 48/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 49/5 |
| 25 | 8 | 57/5 |
| 26 | 5 | 62/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 63/5 |
| 28 | 0 | 63/5 |
| 29 | 1 | 64/5 |
| 30 | 5 | 69/6 |
| 31 | 1 | 70/7 |
| 32 | 5 | 75/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 76/7 |
| 34 | 5 | 81/7 |
| 35 | 1 | 82/8 |
| 36 | 2 | 84/8 |
| 37 | 5 | 89/8 |
| 38 | 3 | 92/8 |
| 39 | 2 | 94/8 |
| 40 | 5 | 99/8 |
| 41 | 3 | 102/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 105/9 |
| 43 | 5 | 110/9 |
| 44 | 7 | 117/9 |
| 45 | 3 | 120/9 |
| 46 | 2 | 122/9 |
| 47 | 0 | 122/10 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anushka Sanjeewani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Achini Kulasuriya: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.