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Sri Lanka Women tour of Ireland · 2024 · Women
20 Aug 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 65%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Sri Lanka: 36% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vishmi Gunaratnebowled · Ava Canning 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ava Canning | 9 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 45.00 |
10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Tector · b FA Sargent | 48 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 97.96 |
7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 48* | 56 | 7 | 0 | 85.71 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Extras |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 |
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
| A Tector0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Ava Canning1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| FA Sargent1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.1 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 4.65 | 1 | 0 |
| Aimee Maguire0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 5.83 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Vishmi Gunaratne, 6.3) · 2-94 (Chamari Atapattu, 18.0)
Recorded target: 123 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 32/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 32/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 43/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 53/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 62/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 65/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 72/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 75/1 |
| 17 | 8 | 83/1 |
| 18 | 11 | 94/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 95/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 99/2 |
| 21 | 7 | 106/2 |
| 22 | 7 | 113/2 |
| 23 | 9 | 122/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 123/2 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anushka Sanjeewani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Achini Kulasuriya: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.