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ICC Women's World Cup · 2025/26 · Women
9 Oct 2025 · ODI
Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 74%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laura Wolvaardtbowled · Kranti Goud8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kranti Goud | 70 | 111 | 8 | 0 | 63.06 |
| Tazmin Britscaught and bowled · Kranti Goud 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Kranti Goud | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Suné Luuscaught · Richa Ghosh · Amanjot Kaur 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Amanjot Kaur | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
 Marizanne Kappbowled · Sneh Rana2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sneh Rana | 20 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 80.00 |
| Anne Boschcaught and bowled · Deepti Sharma0 fours · 0 sixes |
India's chances ranged from 14% to 94% during the match (South Africa: 6% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught and bowled · b Deepti Sharma |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Sinalo Jaftalbw · Shree Charani 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shree Charani | 14 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
 Chloe Tryonlbw · Sneh Rana5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sneh Rana | 49 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 74.24 |
|---|
| Nadine de Klerknot out 8 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 84* | 54 | 8 | 5 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Ayabonga Khakanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 6.56 | 2 | 0 |
| Amanjot Kaur0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.5 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 6.86 | 3 | 0 |
| Sneh Rana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 4.70 | 2 | 0 |
| Shree Charani1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 3.70 | 1 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Harmanpreet Kaur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Tazmin Brits, 2.2) · 2-18 (Suné Luus, 5.2) · 3-57 (Marizanne Kapp, 13.4) · 4-58 (Anne Bosch, 14.1) · 5-81 (Sinalo Jafta, 19.4) · 6-142 (Laura Wolvaardt, 35.5) · 7-211 (Chloe Tryon, 45.5)
Recorded target: 252 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 20/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 22/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 23/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 44/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 50/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 57/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 58/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 62/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 68/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 70/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 75/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 20 | 2 | 81/5 |
| 21 | 4 | 85/5 |
| 22 | 0 | 85/5 |
| 23 | 1 | 86/5 |
| 24 | 3 | 89/5 |
| 25 | 2 | 91/5 |
| 26 | 7 | 98/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 99/5 |
| 28 | 1 | 100/5 |
| 29 | 9 | 109/5 |
| 30 | 4 | 113/5 |
| 31 | 4 | 117/5 |
| 32 | 4 | 121/5 |
| 33 | 7 | 128/5 |
| 34 | 4 | 132/5 |
| 35 | 8 | 140/5 |
| 36 | 4 | 144/6 |
| 37 | 6 | 150/6 |
| 38 | 11 | 161/6 |
| 39 | 2 | 163/6 |
| 40 | 8 | 171/6 |
| 41 | 4 | 175/6 |
| 42 | 6 | 181/6 |
| 43 | 7 | 188/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 192/6 |
| 45 | 8 | 200/6 |
| 46 | 11 | 211/7 |
| 47 | 18 | 229/7 |
| 48 | 11 | 240/7 |
| 49 | 12 | 252/7 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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