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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
24 May 2026 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 32%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Surrey: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Noah Cornwell | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
| ARG Thomascaught · Adam Rossington · Tom Helm 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Rossington · b Tom Helm | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 70.59 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Luke Hollman | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
6 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 71* | 47 | 6 | 4 | 151.06 |
1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Ryan Higgins · b Tom Helm |
| 7 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 140.00 |
| Laurie Evansnot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 34* | 21 | 3 | 2 | 161.90 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 2 | 0 |
| 3.3 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.86 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 1 |
1-16 (ARG Thomas, 4.1) · 2-18 (Jason Roy, 5.1) · 3-42 (Ollie Pope, 8.4) · 4-56 (Daniel Lawrence, 10.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 26/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 43/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 51/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 59/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 67/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 70/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 81/4 |
| 15 | 15 | 96/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 104/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 116/4 |
| 18 | 25 | 141/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 144/4 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.