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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
8 Jun 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 48%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellscaught · Matthew Breetzke · Ben Sanderson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Ben Sanderson | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 157.14 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · George Scrimshaw · Luke Procter 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · George Scrimshaw · b Luke Procter | 17 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 130.77 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Lloyd Pope 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Lloyd Pope | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 150.00 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Lewis McManus · Lloyd Pope2 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Lewis McManus · b Lloyd Pope |
| 23 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 143.75 |
 Michael Jonescaught · Matthew Breetzke · George Scrimshaw2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b George Scrimshaw | 32 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 103.23 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · David Willey · George Scrimshaw1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · David Willey · b George Scrimshaw | 15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickcaught · Matthew Breetzke · George Scrimshaw 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b George Scrimshaw | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 113.33 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Luke Procter · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Procter · b George Scrimshaw | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 9 | 0 | 1 | 155.56 |
|---|
 James Andersonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-12 (Luke Wells, 1.2) · 2-16 (Keaton Jennings, 2.1) · 3-47 (Matthew Hurst, 5.1) · 4-55 (Liam Livingstone, 6.3) · 5-88 (Ashton Turner, 10.5) · 6-105 (Chris Green, 13.1) · 7-139 (Michael Jones, 17.3) · 8-140 (Tom Hartley, 17.4) · 9-141 (Jack Blatherwick, 18.0)
Recorded target: 181 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 55/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 65/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 70/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 77/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 89/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 91/5 |
| 13 | 14 | 105/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 109/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 120/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 129/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 134/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 141/9 |
| 19 | 5 | 146/9 |
| 20 | 10 | 156/9 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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