Lucknow Super GiantsversusDelhi Capitals

22 Apr 2025 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 8 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs159/6 Delhi Capitals17.5 overs161/2 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 51%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 24% to 100%).

Biggest swings

11.2: MA Starc to N Pooran, N Pooran out. Delhi Capitals up from 29% to 36%.
13.2: Mukesh Kumar to Abdul Samad, Abdul Samad out. Delhi Capitals up from 41% to 47%.
2nd inns 3.4: AK Markram to KK Nair, KK Nair out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 18% to 27%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants159/6 Delhi Capitals161/2

Innings 1