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South Africa Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Women
13 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 84%; South Africa batted first.
South Africa's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 15%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharne Mayersbowled · Eliz-Mari Marx 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eliz-Mari Marx | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nyasha Gwanzurabowled · Seshnie Naidu 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Seshnie Naidu | 18 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 94.74 |
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught and bowled · N Nini 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b N Nini | 13 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 92.86 |
| B Bizacaught · Anne Bosch · Seshnie Naidu 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anne Bosch · b Seshnie Naidu | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 250.00 |
| Loren Tshumacaught and bowled · Seshnie Naidu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Seshnie Naidu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| lbw · b Anne Bosch |
| 13 |
| 26 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| M Mavungalbw · Anne Bosch 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Anne Bosch | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| C Mutasanot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 26 | 2 | 1 | 115.38 |
|---|
| Nomvelo Sibandanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 17 | 0 | 0 | 88.24 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliz-Mari Marx1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| C Wyngaard0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| N Nini0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Seshnie Naidu0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 9 | 0 |
| K Reyneke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nondumiso Shangase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Anne Bosch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Sharne Mayers, 0.3) · 2-32 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 5.3) · 3-43 (B Biza, 6.2) · 4-48 (Loren Tshuma, 6.5) · 5-51 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 8.1) · 6-78 (M Mavunga, 11.3) · 7-84 (Modester Mupachikwa, 13.5)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 61/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 66/5 |
| 11 | 10 | 76/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 78/6 |
| 13 | 4 | 82/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 85/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 90/7 |
| 16 | 9 | 99/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 106/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 115/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 129/7 |
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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