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Ireland Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
15 Jan 2025 · ODI
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 85%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Ireland: 0% to 15%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbesrun out · Richa Ghosh, Deepti Sharma · Minnu Mani 7 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Richa Ghosh, Deepti Sharma | 41 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 93.18 |
| Gaby Lewislbw · Titas Sadhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Titas Sadhu | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| CE Coulter Reillybowled · Sayali Satghare 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sayali Satghare | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Orla Prendergastbowled · Tanuja Kanwar 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tanuja Kanwar | 36 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 83.72 |
| Laura Delanybowled · Deepti Sharma 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Leah Paul |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught and bowled · b Deepti Sharma |
| 15 |
| 25 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| Arlene Kellycaught · Sayali Satghare · Tanuja Kanwar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sayali Satghare · b Tanuja Kanwar | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Ava Canningbowled · Minnu Mani 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Minnu Mani | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 9.52 |
|---|
| Georgina Dempseyrun out · Richa Ghosh, Tanuja Kanwar · Deepti Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Richa Ghosh, Tanuja Kanwar | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Alana Dalzellnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
| FA Sargentcaught · Minnu Mani · Deepti Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Minnu Mani · b Deepti Sharma | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titas Sadhu1 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Sayali Satghare0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Tanuja Kanwar2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 31 | 2 | 3.44 | 1 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.4 | 2 | 27 | 3 | 3.12 | 0 | 0 |
 Minnu Mani0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 3.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-18 (Gaby Lewis, 2.3) · 2-24 (CE Coulter Reilly, 3.5) · 3-88 (Orla Prendergast, 15.0) · 4-100 (Sarah Forbes, 17.3) · 5-115 (Laura Delany, 22.3) · 6-122 (Leah Paul, 24.3) · 7-122 (Arlene Kelly, 25.3) · 8-122 (Georgina Dempsey, 27.0) · 9-128 (Ava Canning, 30.2) · 10-131 (FA Sargent, 31.4)
Recorded target: 436 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 70/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 75/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 85/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 88/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 93/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 99/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 100/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 101/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 106/4 |
| 21 | 5 | 111/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 115/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 115/5 |
| 24 | 6 | 121/5 |
| 25 | 1 | 122/6 |
| 26 | 0 | 122/7 |
| 27 | 0 | 122/8 |
| 28 | 2 | 124/8 |
| 29 | 2 | 126/8 |
| 30 | 0 | 126/8 |
| 31 | 4 | 130/9 |
| 32 | 1 | 131/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Minnu Mani: Davidjose365 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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