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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
27 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographDurham started on 34%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 40% during the match (Surrey: 60% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hollie Armitagecaught · Laura Harris · Kalea Moore0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Harris · b Kalea Moore | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Mady Villiersrun out · Alice Monaghan · Alice Monaghan 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Alice Monaghan | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Emily Windsorcaught · Kira Chathli · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kira Chathli · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 17 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 89.47 |
| Bess Heathcaught · Bryony Smith · Bethan Miles 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bryony Smith · b Bethan Miles | 28 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 112.00 |
 |
| bowled · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Mia Rogerscaught · Kira Chathli · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kira Chathli · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 18 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 94.74 |
|---|
| Grace Thompsonlbw · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sophia Turnercaught · Laura Harris · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Harris · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Trudy Johnsonbowled · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Filercaught · Alice Davidson-Richards · Bethan Miles1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alice Davidson-Richards · b Bethan Miles | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Katie Levicknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 2.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Kalea Moore0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Alice Monaghan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Danielle Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Alice Davidson-Richards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Bethan Miles0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
1-5 (Hollie Armitage, 1.1) · 2-37 (Mady Villiers, 5.0) · 3-42 (Emily Windsor, 6.1) · 4-42 (Heather Graham, 6.2) · 5-71 (Mia Rogers, 11.3) · 6-71 (Grace Thompson, 11.4) · 7-94 (Sophia Turner, 15.2) · 8-94 (Trudy Johnson, 15.3) · 9-98 (Bess Heath, 16.1) · 10-102 (Lauren Filer, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 44/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 47/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 55/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 64/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 71/4 |
| 12 | 0 | 71/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 76/6 |
| 14 | 12 | 88/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 94/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 98/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 102/10 |
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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