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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
27 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographDurham started on 34%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 40% during the match (Surrey: 60% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Chathlicaught · Grace Thompson · Trudy Johnson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Thompson · b Trudy Johnson | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Bryony Smithbowled · Katie Levick 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Katie Levick | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Alice Davidson-Richardsbowled · Lauren Filer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lauren Filer | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jemima Spencecaught · Grace Thompson · Trudy Johnson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Thompson · b Trudy Johnson | 24 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 141.18 |
 Paige Scholfieldbowled · Lauren Filer0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lauren Filer |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
| Laura Harriscaught · Grace Thompson · Heather Graham 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Grace Thompson · b Heather Graham | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Alice Monaghannot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 19 | 3 | 0 | 105.26 |
|---|
| Kalea Moorestumped · Mia Rogers · Heather Graham 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mia Rogers · b Heather Graham | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaybowled · Heather Graham 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Heather Graham | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Bethan Milesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Filer0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Katie Levick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Trudy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Mady Villiers0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-10 (Bryony Smith, 1.4) · 2-11 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 2.4) · 3-47 (Kira Chathli, 6.0) · 4-53 (Paige Scholfield, 6.4) · 5-68 (Jemima Spence, 8.5) · 6-68 (Laura Harris, 9.1) · 7-79 (Kalea Moore, 12.3) · 8-94 (Ryana MacDonald-Gay, 14.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 11/2 |
| 4 | 15 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 17 | 43/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 47/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 53/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 62/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 68/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 70/6 |
| 11 | 3 | 73/6 |
| 12 | 6 | 79/6 |
| 13 | 1 | 80/7 |
| 14 | 8 | 88/7 |
| 15 | 7 | 95/8 |
| 16 | 1 | 96/8 |
| 17 | 7 | 103/8 |
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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