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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · T20
New Road, Worcester · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 44%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 14% to 88% during the match (Derbyshire: 12% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Mitch Wagstaff · Patrick Brown 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitch Wagstaff · b Patrick Brown | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
 Ed Pollockcaught · Ross Whiteley · Zak Chappell8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Zak Chappell | 67 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 142.55 |
 Josh Cobbcaught · Luis Reece · Patrick Brown3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luis Reece · b Patrick Brown | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 127.27 |
 Gareth Roderickcaught and bowled · Samit Patel2 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Samit Patel |
| 20 |
| 13 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 153.85 |
| Ethan Brookescaught · Patrick Brown · Zak Chappell 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Zak Chappell | 30 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 157.89 |
|---|
| Rob Jonesbowled · Patrick Brown 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Patrick Brown | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Tom Taylorrun out · Patrick Brown · Patrick Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Patrick Brown | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Jake Libbynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| HJ Cullencaught · Samit Patel · Patrick Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Samit Patel · b Patrick Brown | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jack Homenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Alex Thomson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Mitch Wagstaff0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Brett D'Oliveira, 3.2) · 2-49 (Josh Cobb, 5.5) · 3-78 (Gareth Roderick, 8.5) · 4-140 (Ethan Brookes, 16.0) · 5-149 (Ed Pollock, 17.2) · 6-167 (Rob Jones, 19.2) · 7-167 (Tom Taylor, 19.3) · 8-168 (HJ Cullen, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 49/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 78/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 85/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 111/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 114/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 127/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 140/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 148/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 154/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 163/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 169/8 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Cobb: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Libby: RICHARDV9 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Mitch Wagstaff: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
