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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · T20
New Road, Worcester · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 44%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 14% to 88% during the match (Derbyshire: 12% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luis Reececaught · Jake Libby · Harry Darley1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Libby · b Harry Darley | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
 Aneurin Donaldbowled · Jack Home5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jack Home | 28 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 233.33 |
| David Lloydcaught · HJ Cullen · Harry Darley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HJ Cullen · b Harry Darley | 14 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 73.68 |
 Wayne Madsenbowled · Ethan Brookes4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ethan Brookes | 44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 110.00 |
 Samit Patelcaught · Tom Taylor · Brett D'Oliveira1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Taylor · b Brett D'Oliveira | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleynot out5 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 41* | 22 | 5 | 1 | 186.36 |
|---|
 Alex Thomsonnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 10 | 0 | 1 | 170.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Cobb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Home0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Harry Darley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ethan Brookes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett D'Oliveira0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-33 (Aneurin Donald, 2.5) · 2-37 (Luis Reece, 3.2) · 3-85 (David Lloyd, 10.4) · 4-102 (Samit Patel, 13.3) · 5-113 (Wayne Madsen, 15.4)
Recorded target: 170 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 40/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 43/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 59/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 82/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 87/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 93/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 98/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 104/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 109/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 115/5 |
| 17 | 15 | 130/5 |
| 18 | 17 | 147/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 156/5 |
| 20 | 14 | 170/5 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Cobb: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Libby: RICHARDV9 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Mitch Wagstaff: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
