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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
12 Jun 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 34%; Canada batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smit Patelcaught · Ali Nadeem · Zahid Shirzad 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Nadeem · b Zahid Shirzad | 13 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65.00 |
| Monank Patelcaught · Saad Bin Zafar · Kaleem Sana 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saad Bin Zafar · b Kaleem Sana | 30 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Shehan Jayasuriyacaught · Ali Nadeem · Zahid Shirzad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Nadeem · b Zahid Shirzad | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught and bowled · Harsh Thaker 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Harsh Thaker | 19 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 51.35 |
| Milind Kumarnot out 5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 111* | 125 | 5 | 3 | 88.80 |
Canada's chances ranged from 16% to 87% during the match (United States of America: 13% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
 Shubham Ranjanelbw · Kaleem Sana3 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b Kaleem Sana |
| 59 |
| 64 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 92.19 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthinot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 21* | 18 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 57 | 2 | 5.70 | 2 | 0 |
| Zahid Shirzad0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 57 | 2 | 5.70 | 4 | 0 |
 Saad Bin Zafar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Akhil Kumar0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 4.90 | 5 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 4.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Spoors0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-44 (Monank Patel, 6.5) · 2-48 (Smit Patel, 8.0) · 3-55 (Shehan Jayasuriya, 9.4) · 4-123 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 21.5) · 5-239 (Shubham Ranjane, 45.1)
Recorded target: 276 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 44/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 53/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 66/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 80/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 87/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 91/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 96/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 101/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 110/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 21 | 10 | 122/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 123/4 |
| 23 | 5 | 128/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 131/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 135/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 139/4 |
| 27 | 6 | 145/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 147/4 |
| 29 | 6 | 153/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 156/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 160/4 |
| 32 | 9 | 169/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 170/4 |
| 34 | 9 | 179/4 |
| 35 | 6 | 185/4 |
| 36 | 7 | 192/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 198/4 |
| 38 | 4 | 202/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 205/4 |
| 40 | 5 | 210/4 |
| 41 | 3 | 213/4 |
| 42 | 7 | 220/4 |
| 43 | 4 | 224/4 |
| 44 | 4 | 228/4 |
| 45 | 11 | 239/4 |
| 46 | 0 | 239/5 |
| 47 | 9 | 248/5 |
| 48 | 7 | 255/5 |
| 49 | 6 | 261/5 |
| 50 | 15 | 276/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
