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West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
10 Dec 2025 · Test
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellbowled · Michael Rae 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Michael Rae | 14 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 51.85 |
| Brandon Kingrun out · MG Bracewell, Mitchell Hay · Michael Rae 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · MG Bracewell, Mitchell Hay | 22 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 46.81 |
| Anderson Philliplbw · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jacob Duffy | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kavem Hodgecaught · WA Young · Zakary Foulkes 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · WA Young · b Zakary Foulkes | 35 | 75 | 5 | 0 | 46.67 |
 |
| caught and bowled · b Michael Rae |
| 5 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 166.67 |
 Roston Chasecaught · Mitchell Hay · Jacob Duffy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Hay · b Jacob Duffy | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Justin Greaveslbw · Jacob Duffy 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jacob Duffy | 25 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 43.86 |
|---|
| Tevin Imlachcaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 5 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 12.82 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealescaught · Mitchell Hay · Michael Rae 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Hay · b Michael Rae | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ojay Shieldscaught · Michael Rae · Jacob Duffy 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Rae · b Jacob Duffy | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy4 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.2 | 4 | 38 | 5 | 2.19 | 2 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes2 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 12.0 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Rae3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 3 | 45 | 3 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Mitchell1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.80 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (John Campbell, 6.5) · 2-25 (Anderson Phillip, 7.4) · 3-50 (Brandon King, 17.1) · 4-58 (Shai Hope, 18.0) · 5-70 (Roston Chase, 22.1) · 6-88 (Kavem Hodge, 30.4) · 7-113 (Justin Greaves, 43.0) · 8-114 (Tevin Imlach, 44.1) · 9-119 (Jayden Seales, 45.4) · 10-128 (Ojay Shields, 46.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 24/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 25/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 29/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 36/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 58/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 59/4 |
| 20 | 0 | 59/4 |
| 21 | 2 | 61/4 |
| 22 | 9 | 70/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 70/5 |
| 24 | 2 | 72/5 |
| 25 | 2 | 74/5 |
| 26 | 5 | 79/5 |
| 27 | 6 | 85/5 |
| 28 | 1 | 86/5 |
| 29 | 0 | 86/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 87/5 |
| 31 | 1 | 88/6 |
| 32 | 1 | 89/6 |
| 33 | 3 | 92/6 |
| 34 | 1 | 93/6 |
| 35 | 2 | 95/6 |
| 36 | 0 | 95/6 |
| 37 | 3 | 98/6 |
| 38 | 0 | 98/6 |
| 39 | 1 | 99/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 103/6 |
| 41 | 2 | 105/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 107/6 |
| 43 | 6 | 113/7 |
| 44 | 1 | 114/7 |
| 45 | 0 | 114/8 |
| 46 | 10 | 124/9 |
| 47 | 4 | 128/10 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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