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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 57%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 7% to 94% during the match (Sussex: 6% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jackscaught · John Simpson · Nathan McAndrew12 fours · 3 sixes | caught · John Simpson · b Nathan McAndrew | 100 | 59 | 12 | 3 | 169.49 |
| Ryan Patelcaught · Nathan McAndrew · James Coles 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan McAndrew · b James Coles | 30 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 176.47 |
 Jason Roycaught · Tom Clark · Nathan McAndrew4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Nathan McAndrew | 35 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 134.62 |
 Sam Curranbowled · Henry Crocombe0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Henry Crocombe | 14 | 7 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 200.00 |
 Daniel Lawrencebowled · Henry Crocombe0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Henry Crocombe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currannot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 6 | 2 | 1 | 283.33 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-65 (Ryan Patel, 6.1) · 2-162 (Jason Roy, 16.1) · 3-181 (Sam Curran, 17.5) · 4-181 (Daniel Lawrence, 18.0) · 5-191 (Will Jacks, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 34/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 47/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 58/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 65/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 79/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 85/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 91/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 100/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 106/1 |
| 13 | 19 | 125/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 137/1 |
| 15 | 13 | 150/1 |
| 16 | 12 | 162/1 |
| 17 | 10 | 172/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 181/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 192/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 204/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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