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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 54%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Hampshire: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Tom Prest · Chris Wood2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Tom Prest · b Chris Wood | 32 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 177.78 |
 Will Jackscaught · Hilton Cartwright · Scott Currie1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Scott Currie | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 115.38 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Toby Albert · M Lumsden1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Toby Albert · b M Lumsden | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Sam Currancaught · Hilton Cartwright · M Lumsden4 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Hilton Cartwright · b M Lumsden |
| 38 |
| 29 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 131.03 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Hilton Cartwright · James Fuller1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b James Fuller | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 121.43 |
|---|
| Laurie Evanscaught · Hilton Cartwright · James Fuller 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b James Fuller | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Joe Weatherley · Scott Currie0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joe Weatherley · b Scott Currie | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottrun out · Liam Dawson, Toby Albert · M Lumsden0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Liam Dawson, Toby Albert | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Clarknot out1 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 34* | 12 | 1 | 4 | 283.33 |
|---|
| Yousef Majidnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 63 | 1 | 15.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Dawson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| James Fuller0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Lumsden0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Will Jacks, 4.1) · 2-54 (Jason Roy, 5.5) · 3-71 (Ollie Pope, 7.2) · 4-96 (Daniel Lawrence, 11.0) · 5-124 (Laurie Evans, 14.2) · 6-133 (Tom Curran, 15.2) · 7-140 (Sam Curran, 17.1) · 8-143 (Sean Abbott, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 21 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 54/2 |
| 7 | 13 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 76/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 90/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 96/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 104/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 108/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 120/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 132/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 135/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 143/8 |
| 19 | 1 | 144/8 |
| 20 | 30 | 174/8 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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