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Photo: AssociateAffiliate
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 54%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Hampshire: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Albertcaught · Laurie Evans · Reece Topley 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Reece Topley | 30 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 200.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yousef Majid · b Reece Topley | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Joe Weatherleycaught · Sean Abbott · Tom Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott · b Tom Curran | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Tom Prestcaught · Daniel Lawrence · Tom Curran 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Tom Curran | 25 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 147.06 |
| Liam Dawsonnot out 4 fours · 4 sixes | not out |
| 44 |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 172.73 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Sam Curran · Tom Curran 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Tom Curran | 31 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 114.81 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| Yousef Majid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.1 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.16 | 1 | 0 |
1-21 (James Vince, 2.3) · 2-23 (Joe Weatherley, 3.1) · 3-35 (Toby Albert, 4.2) · 4-86 (Tom Prest, 9.3) · 5-169 (Tristan Stubbs, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 19 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 17 | 50/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 62/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 67/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 75/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 84/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 88/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 94/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 105/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 120/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 132/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 142/4 |
| 17 | 16 | 158/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 164/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 172/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 178/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.