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Costa Rica Women tour of Mexico · 2024/25 · Women
17 Nov 2024 · T20
Mexico more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Septiencaught · A Cespedes · WM Delgado 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Cespedes · b WM Delgado | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
| DL Mejiabowled · SB Martinez 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SB Martinez | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| M Ortizbowled · YP Molina 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b YP Molina | 8 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 29.63 |
| T Salcedolbw · SB Martinez 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b SB Martinez | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| MZR Mohedanobowled · WM Delgado 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b WM Delgado |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| DP Hernandezcaught · AB Martinez · EFB Estrada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AB Martinez · b EFB Estrada | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| MCR Mohedanobowled · YP Molina 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b YP Molina | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 31.25 |
|---|
| G Moralesbowled · EFB Estrada 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b EFB Estrada | 7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 41.18 |
|---|
| JF Jimenezbowled · SB Martinez 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SB Martinez | 17 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 80.95 |
|---|
| SMR Ruelasnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| DVO Garciarun out · EFB Estrada · EFB Estrada 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · EFB Estrada | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7.69 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 31 · noballs: 19 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SB Martinez0 maidens · 6 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 6 | 2 |
| WM Delgado0 maidens · 6 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 6 | 3 |
| YP Molina1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 5 | 0 |
| EFB Estrada0 maidens · 3 wides · 13 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 3 | 13 |
| AB Martinez0 maidens · 11 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 11 | 1 |
1-8 (DL Mejia, 0.5) · 2-19 (AC Septien, 3.2) · 3-26 (T Salcedo, 4.5) · 4-32 (MZR Mohedano, 6.0) · 5-38 (DP Hernandez, 7.1) · 6-53 (MCR Mohedano, 8.3) · 7-57 (M Ortiz, 10.4) · 8-85 (G Morales, 14.3) · 9-100 (JF Jimenez, 17.0) · 10-110 (DVO Garcia, 19.0)
Recorded target: 111 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 26/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 32/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 38/4 |
| 8 | 15 | 53/5 |
| 9 | 0 | 53/6 |
| 10 | 2 | 55/6 |
| 11 | 3 | 58/7 |
| 12 | 12 | 70/7 |
| 13 | 5 | 75/7 |
| 14 | 6 | 81/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 86/8 |
| 16 | 10 | 96/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 100/9 |
| 18 | 4 | 104/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 110/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.