Islamabad UnitedversusMultan Sultans

28 Mar 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Multan Sultans won by 5 wickets

Islamabad United20.0 overs171/8 Multan Sultans18.4 overs175/5 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Islamabad United started on 56%; Islamabad United batted first.

Islamabad United’s chance of winning (%) · Multan Sultans is the rest

Islamabad United's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Multan Sultans: 29% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.2: Imad Wasim to Sahibzada Farhan, Sahibzada Farhan out. Islamabad United up from 40% to 53%.
2nd inns 7.3: Salman Irshad to SPD Smith, SPD Smith out. Islamabad United up from 32% to 44%.
2nd inns 8.5: Shadab Khan to Shan Masood, Shan Masood out. Islamabad United up from 39% to 54%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Islamabad United171/8 Multan Sultans175/5

Innings 1