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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
20 Oct 2025 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Kyle Verreynne · Simon Harmer4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Simon Harmer | 57 | 146 | 4 | 0 | 39.04 |
 Imam-ul-Haqbowled · Simon Harmer2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 17 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 48.57 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Marco Jansen · Keshav Maharaj2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Keshav Maharaj | 87 | 176 | 2 | 3 | 49.43 |
| caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Keshav Maharaj |
| 16 |
| 22 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Aiden Markram · Keshav Maharaj4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Keshav Maharaj | 66 | 147 | 4 | 0 | 44.90 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwanlbw · Kagiso Rabada2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kagiso Rabada | 19 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 48.72 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghalbw · Keshav Maharaj 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Keshav Maharaj | 45 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 59.21 |
|---|
| Nauman Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 31.58 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridibowled · Keshav Maharaj0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Keshav Maharaj | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sajid Khancaught · Aiden Markram · Keshav Maharaj 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Keshav Maharaj | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Asif Afridibowled · Keshav Maharaj 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Keshav Maharaj | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 2 | 60 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen6 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 20.0 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 2.90 | 0 | 2 |
 Keshav Maharaj5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 42.4 | 5 | 102 | 7 | 2.39 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.0 | 3 | 75 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-35 (Imam-ul-Haq, 12.3) · 2-146 (Abdullah Shafique, 50.5) · 3-167 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 56.0) · 4-212 (Shan Masood, 73.3) · 5-246 (Mohammad Rizwan, 84.5) · 6-316 (Salman Ali Agha, 105.5) · 7-321 (Saud Shakeel, 107.5) · 8-323 (Shaheen Afridi, 109.3) · 9-329 (Sajid Khan, 113.1) · 10-333 (Asif Afridi, 113.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 13/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 29/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 32/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 34/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 35/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 37/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 39/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 17 | 10 | 51/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 53/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 59/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 65/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 68/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 71/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 78/1 |
| 24 | 3 | 81/1 |
| 25 | 7 | 88/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 91/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 93/1 |
| 28 | 1 | 94/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 95/1 |
| 30 | 0 | 95/1 |
| 31 | 1 | 96/1 |
| 32 | 1 | 97/1 |
| 33 | 6 | 103/1 |
| 34 | 4 | 107/1 |
| 35 | 1 | 108/1 |
| 36 | 4 | 112/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 113/1 |
| 38 | 0 | 113/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 118/1 |
| 40 | 2 | 120/1 |
| 41 | 2 | 122/1 |
| 42 | 2 | 124/1 |
| 43 | 4 | 128/1 |
| 44 | 4 | 132/1 |
| 45 | 1 | 133/1 |
| 46 | 2 | 135/1 |
| 47 | 3 | 138/1 |
| 48 | 1 | 139/1 |
| 49 | 3 | 142/1 |
| 50 | 2 | 144/1 |
| 51 | 2 | 146/2 |
| 52 | 3 | 149/2 |
| 53 | 5 | 154/2 |
| 54 | 1 | 155/2 |
| 55 | 6 | 161/2 |
| 56 | 6 | 167/3 |
| 57 | 2 | 169/3 |
| 58 | 1 | 170/3 |
| 59 | 2 | 172/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 173/3 |
| 61 | 3 | 176/3 |
| 62 | 1 | 177/3 |
| 63 | 1 | 178/3 |
| 64 | 1 | 179/3 |
| 65 | 2 | 181/3 |
| 66 | 3 | 184/3 |
| 67 | 2 | 186/3 |
| 68 | 7 | 193/3 |
| 69 | 6 | 199/3 |
| 70 | 1 | 200/3 |
| 71 | 6 | 206/3 |
| 72 | 2 | 208/3 |
| 73 | 4 | 212/3 |
| 74 | 0 | 212/4 |
| 75 | 0 | 212/4 |
| 76 | 4 | 216/4 |
| 77 | 10 | 226/4 |
| 78 | 2 | 228/4 |
| 79 | 7 | 235/4 |
| 80 | 0 | 235/4 |
| 81 | 1 | 236/4 |
| 82 | 2 | 238/4 |
| 83 | 2 | 240/4 |
| 84 | 2 | 242/4 |
| 85 | 4 | 246/5 |
| 86 | 1 | 247/5 |
| 87 | 1 | 248/5 |
| 88 | 0 | 248/5 |
| 89 | 8 | 256/5 |
| 90 | 2 | 258/5 |
| 91 | 1 | 259/5 |
| 92 | 4 | 263/5 |
| 93 | 4 | 267/5 |
| 94 | 3 | 270/5 |
| 95 | 5 | 275/5 |
| 96 | 7 | 282/5 |
| 97 | 6 | 288/5 |
| 98 | 0 | 288/5 |
| 99 | 0 | 288/5 |
| 100 | 1 | 289/5 |
| 101 | 4 | 293/5 |
| 102 | 0 | 293/5 |
| 103 | 8 | 301/5 |
| 104 | 8 | 309/5 |
| 105 | 6 | 315/5 |
| 106 | 1 | 316/6 |
| 107 | 1 | 317/6 |
| 108 | 4 | 321/7 |
| 109 | 1 | 322/7 |
| 110 | 2 | 324/8 |
| 111 | 0 | 324/8 |
| 112 | 5 | 329/8 |
| 113 | 0 | 329/8 |
| 114 | 4 | 333/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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