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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
20 Oct 2025 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Imam-ul-Haqlbw · Simon Harmer1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Simon Harmer | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Marco Jansen · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Kagiso Rabada | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 31.58 |
 Shan Masoodlbw · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| lbw · b Simon Harmer |
| 50 |
| 87 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 57.47 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Aiden Markram · Simon Harmer1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Simon Harmer | 11 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 25.58 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Tony de Zorzi · Simon Harmer1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Simon Harmer | 18 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 28.13 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghabowled · Keshav Maharaj 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Keshav Maharaj | 28 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Nauman Alicaught · Kyle Verreynne · Simon Harmer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridirun out · Ryan Rickelton · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ryan Rickelton | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sajid Khanstumped · Kyle Verreynne · Keshav Maharaj 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Kyle Verreynne · b Keshav Maharaj | 13 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 81.25 |
|---|
| Asif Afridinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada3 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 11.0 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 3.45 | 0 | 3 |
 Simon Harmer5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 5 | 50 | 6 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Keshav Maharaj1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.3 | 1 | 34 | 2 | 2.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Imam-ul-Haq, 4.0) · 2-16 (Shan Masood, 6.0) · 3-16 (Abdullah Shafique, 6.1) · 4-60 (Saud Shakeel, 20.1) · 5-96 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 35.5) · 6-105 (Mohammad Rizwan, 39.4) · 7-105 (Nauman Ali, 41.1) · 8-105 (Shaheen Afridi, 42.1) · 9-129 (Salman Ali Agha, 47.5) · 10-138 (Sajid Khan, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 16/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 21/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 24/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 29/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 33/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 14 | 0 | 38/3 |
| 15 | 0 | 38/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 46/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 55/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 56/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 60/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 60/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 63/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 63/4 |
| 24 | 4 | 67/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 67/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 68/4 |
| 27 | 1 | 69/4 |
| 28 | 4 | 73/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 77/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 79/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 80/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 84/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 89/4 |
| 34 | 4 | 93/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 94/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 96/5 |
| 37 | 0 | 96/5 |
| 38 | 1 | 97/5 |
| 39 | 8 | 105/5 |
| 40 | 0 | 105/6 |
| 41 | 0 | 105/6 |
| 42 | 0 | 105/7 |
| 43 | 4 | 109/8 |
| 44 | 9 | 118/8 |
| 45 | 1 | 119/8 |
| 46 | 5 | 124/8 |
| 47 | 3 | 127/8 |
| 48 | 2 | 129/9 |
| 49 | 7 | 136/9 |
| 50 | 2 | 138/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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