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India tour of Ireland · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 5%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 2% to 100% during the match (India: 0% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Ben Calitz · L McCarthy 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben Calitz · b L McCarthy | 49 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 245.00 |
 Sanju Samsonbowled · Jai Moondra1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jai Moondra | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Ishan Kishancaught · Lorcan Tucker · Matt Hollard0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Matt Hollard | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Shreyas Iyercaught · George Dockrell · Matt Hollard0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Dockrell · b Matt Hollard | 3 | 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 42.86 |
 Tilak Varmacaught · Ross Adair · Matthew Humphreys3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ross Adair · b Matthew Humphreys | 19 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 90.48 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Ben Calitz · Matt Hollard0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Calitz · b Matt Hollard | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Shivam Dubecaught and bowled · Jai Moondra1 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jai Moondra | 25 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 178.57 |
|---|
 Axar Patelcaught · Tim Tector · Gareth Delany1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Tector · b Gareth Delany | 15 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 93.75 |
|---|
| Harshit Ranacaught · Ben Calitz · Matthew Humphreys 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Calitz · b Matthew Humphreys | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 88.89 |
|---|
 Arshdeep Singhcaught · Tim Tector · Matthew Humphreys0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Tector · b Matthew Humphreys | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Humphreys0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.91 | 1 | 0 |
| Jai Moondra0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| L McCarthy0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Hollard0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 2 | 1 |
 Harry Tector0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Gareth Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Sanju Samson, 1.1) · 2-45 (Ishan Kishan, 3.2) · 3-60 (Shreyas Iyer, 5.1) · 4-80 (Abhishek Sharma, 8.0) · 5-90 (Tilak Varma, 10.2) · 6-100 (Washington Sundar, 12.0) · 7-135 (Shivam Dube, 16.0) · 8-137 (Axar Patel, 16.5) · 9-147 (Harshit Rana, 18.1) · 10-148 (Arshdeep Singh, 18.5)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 24/1 |
| 3 | 21 | 45/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 57/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 60/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 68/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 76/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 84/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 89/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 96/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 100/6 |
| 13 | 11 | 111/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 115/6 |
| 15 | 14 | 129/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 135/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 138/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 147/8 |
| 19 | 1 | 148/10 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
