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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Middlesex started on 37%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Gloucestershire: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miles Hammondcaught · Leus du Plooy · SHB Morgan2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b SHB Morgan | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 D'Arcy Shortcaught · Joe Cracknell · Noah Cornwell8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Noah Cornwell | 64 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 139.13 |
| Cameron Bancroftcaught · Kane Williamson · Luke Hollman 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Luke Hollman | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Ollie Pricecaught · Tom Helm · Luke Hollman0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Jack Taylorcaught · Kane Williamson · SHB Morgan 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b SHB Morgan | 41 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 128.13 |
|---|
 Ben Charlesworthlbw · Ryan Higgins1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ryan Higgins | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Graeme van Buurencaught · Leus du Plooy · Tom Helm0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Tom Helm | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| David Paynenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Josh Shawnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| SHB Morgan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Miles Hammond, 1.5) · 2-65 (Cameron Bancroft, 7.3) · 3-65 (Ollie Price, 7.4) · 4-140 (D'Arcy Short, 16.4) · 5-142 (Jack Taylor, 17.1) · 6-149 (Graeme van Buuren, 18.1) · 7-161 (Ben Charlesworth, 19.3)
Recorded target: 190 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 75/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 115/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 124/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 132/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 138/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 142/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 149/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 157/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 166/7 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ajeet Dale: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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