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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
25 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 68%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael van Lingencaught · Noah Croes · Logan van Beek 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Logan van Beek | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Malan Krugerbowled · Zach Lion-Cachet2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zach Lion-Cachet | 36 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 54.55 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Scott Edwards · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Logan van Beek | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8.33 |
| Louren Steenkampcaught · Scott Edwards · Aryan Dutt 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Aryan Dutt | 68 | 87 | 1 | 3 | 78.16 |
| Gerhard Erasmusbowled · Logan van Beek 1 fours · 0 sixes |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Logan van Beek |
| 27 |
| 49 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 55.10 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Noah Croes · Aryan Dutt 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Aryan Dutt | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 89.47 |
|---|
| Zane Greencaught · C de Lange (2) · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C de Lange (2) · b Aryan Dutt | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| JJ Smitcaught and bowled · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmanncaught · Noah Croes · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Logan van Beek | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtzcaught · Logan van Beek · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Logan van Beek · b Kyle Klein | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Jack Brassellnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 5.09 | 3 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 35 | 4 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan van Beek2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 29 | 4 | 3.22 | 2 | 0 |
| A Roy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Bas de Leede0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Michael van Lingen, 4.2) · 2-32 (Jan Frylinck, 8.4) · 3-90 (Malan Kruger, 24.1) · 4-141 (Louren Steenkamp, 35.2) · 5-171 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 41.5) · 6-177 (Gerhard Erasmus, 42.5) · 7-180 (JJ Smit, 43.4) · 8-187 (Zane Green, 45.2) · 9-191 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 47.0) · 10-193 (Bernard Scholtz, 47.5)
Recorded target: 252 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 25/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 26/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 41/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 54/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 58/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 60/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 68/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 72/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 80/2 |
| 22 | 6 | 86/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 88/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 90/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 93/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 95/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 101/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 105/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 109/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 32 | 8 | 124/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 127/3 |
| 34 | 5 | 132/3 |
| 35 | 9 | 141/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 143/4 |
| 37 | 0 | 143/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 146/4 |
| 39 | 5 | 151/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 152/4 |
| 41 | 12 | 164/4 |
| 42 | 9 | 173/5 |
| 43 | 4 | 177/6 |
| 44 | 6 | 183/7 |
| 45 | 3 | 186/7 |
| 46 | 5 | 191/8 |
| 47 | 0 | 191/9 |
| 48 | 2 | 193/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
