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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
4 Jul 2026 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Gloucestershire started on 43%; Gloucestershire batted first.
Gloucestershire's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Surrey: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Marchant de Lange · Matt Taylor1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Marchant de Lange · b Matt Taylor | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 137.50 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · James Bracey · Liam Scott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bracey · b Liam Scott | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Josh Philippecaught · Dawid Malan · Marchant de Lange 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dawid Malan · b Marchant de Lange | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 136.36 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Dawid Malan · James Hayes2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dawid Malan · b James Hayes | 20 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 133.33 |
| caught · Matt Taylor · b Liam Scott |
| 38 |
| 31 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 122.58 |
 Tom Curranbowled · Graeme van Buuren0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Graeme van Buuren | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Tom Lawescaught and bowled · James Hayes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b James Hayes | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottstumped · James Bracey · Graeme van Buuren0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · James Bracey · b Graeme van Buuren | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught and bowled · Matt Taylor0 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Taylor | 27 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 122.73 |
|---|
| Yousef Majidnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Reece Topleybowled · James Hayes1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Hayes | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| James Hayes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 6.27 | 0 | 0 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Graeme van Buuren0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-8 (Laurie Evans, 1.4) · 2-14 (Jason Roy, 2.3) · 3-48 (Josh Philippe, 5.5) · 4-53 (Ollie Pope, 7.2) · 5-56 (Tom Curran, 8.2) · 6-59 (Tom Lawes, 9.2) · 7-62 (Sean Abbott, 10.2) · 8-110 (Daniel Lawrence, 16.2) · 9-127 (Chris Jordan, 18.1) · 10-134 (Reece Topley, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 42/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 48/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 52/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 55/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 59/5 |
| 10 | 3 | 62/6 |
| 11 | 7 | 69/7 |
| 12 | 7 | 76/7 |
| 13 | 8 | 84/7 |
| 14 | 11 | 95/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 99/7 |
| 16 | 11 | 110/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 119/8 |
| 18 | 8 | 127/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 133/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 134/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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