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Photo: Gnan garra
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5 au
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
26 Dec 2025 · T20
Perth Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 47%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 2% to 66% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 34% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owencaught · Ashton Agar · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashton Agar · b Cooper Connolly | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
| Tim Wardcaught · Ashton Turner · Joel Paris 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Joel Paris | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Nikhil Chaudharylbw · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Cooper Connolly | 34 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 113.33 |
| Ben McDermottlbw · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Cooper Connolly | 9 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 56.25 |
| Tim Davidretired hurt · Brody Couch 3 fours · 2 sixes | retired hurt | 42* | 28 | 3 | 2 | 150.00 |
| not out |
| 22* |
| 13 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 169.23 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Laurie Evans · Mahli Beardman0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Mahli Beardman | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught · Nick Hobson · Joel Paris2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Hobson · b Joel Paris | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 6.29 | 1 | 0 |
| Brody Couch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mahli Beardman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 7 | 0 |
1-6 (Mitchell Owen, 0.2) · 2-20 (Tim Ward, 3.1) · 3-39 (Ben McDermott, 7.4) · 4-102 (Nikhil Chaudhary, 13.5) · 5-114 (Rehan Ahmed, 16.2) · 6-149 (Chris Jordan, 19.2)
Recorded target: 151 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 41/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 47/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 57/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 17 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 92/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 102/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 104/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 113/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 120/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 131/5 |
| 19 | 16 | 147/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 153/6 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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