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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Zimbabwe Twenty20 Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
24 Jul 2025 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
New Zealand started on 81%; New Zealand batted first.
New Zealand's chances ranged from 80% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 20%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Myersbowled · Ish Sodhi 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ish Sodhi | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Brian Bennettcaught · Bevon Jacobs · Ish Sodhi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bevon Jacobs · b Ish Sodhi | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Clive Madandebowled · Ish Sodhi0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ish Sodhi | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
 Sikandar Razalbw · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matt Henry | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 180.00 |
| Ryan Burlcaught and bowled · Michael Bracewell1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught and bowled · b Michael Bracewell |
| 5 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Tony Munyongacaught · Matt Henry · Ish Sodhi 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b Ish Sodhi | 40 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Tashinga Musekiwacaught · Michael Bracewell · William O’Rourke 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b William O’Rourke | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Wellington Masakadzabowled · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zakary Foulkes | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Tinotenda Maposanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Richard Ngaravabowled · Matt Henry 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Matt Henry | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Trevor Gwandurun out · Tim Seifert · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tim Seifert | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 11.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.65 | 3 | 0 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Brian Bennett, 2.2) · 2-27 (Clive Madande, 4.4) · 3-28 (Dion Myers, 5.0) · 4-37 (Sikandar Raza, 5.4) · 5-44 (Ryan Burl, 7.4) · 6-95 (Tony Munyonga, 13.2) · 7-110 (Wellington Masakadza, 15.4) · 8-111 (Tashinga Musekiwa, 16.1) · 9-118 (Richard Ngarava, 17.1) · 10-130 (Trevor Gwandu, 18.5)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 38/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 46/5 |
| 9 | 7 | 53/5 |
| 10 | 10 | 63/5 |
| 11 | 12 | 75/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/5 |
| 13 | 15 | 94/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 97/6 |
| 15 | 10 | 107/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 110/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 118/8 |
| 18 | 10 | 128/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 130/10 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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