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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
10 Jan 2026 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 45%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HE van der Dussencaught · Wiaan Mulder · Daniel Worrall 4 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Daniel Worrall | 65 | 32 | 4 | 6 | 203.13 |
 Ryan Rickeltonnot out8 fours · 9 sixes | not out | 113* | 60 | 8 | 9 | 188.33 |
| Nicolas Poorancaught · Donavon Ferreira · Daniel Worrall 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Daniel Worrall | 14 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 107.69 |
| Jason Smithcaught · Wiaan Mulder · Donavon Ferreira 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Donavon Ferreira | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Karim Janatnot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 181.82 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 13 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Worrall0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 7 | 0 |
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Prenelan Subrayen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 13.25 | 2 | 1 |
 Wiaan Mulder0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Donavon Ferreira0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-129 (HE van der Dussen, 10.2) · 2-163 (Nicolas Pooran, 14.1) · 3-168 (Jason Smith, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 20/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 27/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 40/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 54/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 63/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 67/0 |
| 7 | 13 | 80/0 |
| 8 | 16 | 96/0 |
| 9 | 19 | 115/0 |
| 10 | 13 | 128/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 138/1 |
| 12 | 12 | 150/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 157/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 163/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 168/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 174/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 179/3 |
| 18 | 22 | 201/3 |
| 19 | 22 | 223/3 |
| 20 | 11 | 234/3 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Faf du Plessis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
