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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
10 Jan 2026 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 45%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Vincecaught · Kagiso Rabada · George Linde10 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kagiso Rabada · b George Linde | 77 | 43 | 10 | 3 | 179.07 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Ryan Rickelton · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Kagiso Rabada | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| M De Villierslbw · George Linde 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b George Linde | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Wiaan Mulderbowled · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| not out |
| 80* |
| 42 |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| 190.48 |
| Donavon Ferreiracaught · Ryan Rickelton · Corbin Bosch 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Corbin Bosch | 22 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 146.67 |
|---|
| Akeal Hoseinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trent Boult0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Corbin Bosch0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 12.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Rashid Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-15 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 2.1) · 2-30 (M De Villiers, 4.0) · 3-35 (Wiaan Mulder, 4.5) · 4-101 (James Vince, 11.3) · 5-151 (Donavon Ferreira, 15.5)
Recorded target: 235 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 30/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 35/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 47/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 55/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 64/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 16 | 89/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 101/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 108/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 117/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 129/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 142/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 151/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 159/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 167/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 180/5 |
| 20 | 18 | 198/5 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Faf du Plessis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
