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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 55%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie McCanncaught · Will Rhodes · Callum Parkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Rhodes · b Callum Parkinson | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Joe Clarkecaught · Nathan Sowter · James Neesham 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b James Neesham | 41 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 164.00 |
| Jack Haynescaught · Alex Lees · Kasey Aldridge 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Alex Lees · b Kasey Aldridge | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Lyndon Jamescaught · BS McKinney · Nathan Sowter 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Nathan Sowter | 30 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 250.00 |
 Tom Mooresbowled · Kasey Aldridge1 fours · 1 sixes |
| bowled · b Kasey Aldridge |
| 18 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 163.64 |
 Daniel Samsbowled · Nathan Sowter0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Sowter | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Liam Patterson-Whitecaught · Will Rhodes · Kasey Aldridge 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Rhodes · b Kasey Aldridge | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Matthew Montgomerycaught · Ollie Robinson · Kasey Aldridge 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Kasey Aldridge | 41 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 227.78 |
|---|
| Calvin Harrisoncaught · Graham Clark · Kasey Aldridge 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Kasey Aldridge | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Oli Stonerun out · Kasey Aldridge · Kasey Aldridge0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kasey Aldridge | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Farhan Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 13.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 10.88 | 1 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Freddie McCann, 0.5) · 2-37 (Jack Haynes, 3.3) · 3-81 (Lyndon James, 7.0) · 4-106 (Joe Clarke, 9.2) · 5-112 (Tom Moores, 10.1) · 6-120 (Liam Patterson-White, 10.4) · 7-143 (Daniel Sams, 12.1) · 8-182 (Calvin Harrison, 15.2) · 9-182 (Oli Stone, 15.3) · 10-182 (Matthew Montgomery, 15.4)
Recorded target: 232 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 45/2 |
| 5 | 19 | 64/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 76/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 81/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 93/3 |
| 9 | 12 | 105/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 112/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 124/6 |
| 12 | 19 | 143/6 |
| 13 | 13 | 156/7 |
| 14 | 15 | 171/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 180/7 |
| 16 | 2 | 182/10 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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