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Namibia Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
8 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 65%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 7% to 72% during the match (Namibia: 28% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmannbowled · Kelis Ndhlovu 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kelis Ndhlovu | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 58.82 |
| Yasmeen Khanbowled · C Mutasa 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b C Mutasa | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Wilka Mwatilecaught · Chipo Mugeri · K Chigora 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chipo Mugeri · b K Chigora | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| M Gorasesbowled · B Biza 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b B Biza | 27 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 57.45 |
| Arrasta Diergaardtbowled · L Mabhero 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b L Mabhero | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| E Van Zylcaught · Chiedza Dhururu · Josephine Nkomo1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Chiedza Dhururu · b Josephine Nkomo |
| 11 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 68.75 |
| Sylvia Shiheponot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 14 | 2 | 0 | 164.29 |
|---|
| M Mwatilebowled · B Biza 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b B Biza | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Irene van Zylnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| C Mutasa0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| K Chigora0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 3 | 0 |
| L Mabhero0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Yasmeen Khan, 1.3) · 2-19 (Wilka Mwatile, 3.0) · 3-36 (Sune Wittmann, 6.1) · 4-45 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 10.0) · 5-68 (E Van Zyl, 15.0) · 6-86 (M Gorases, 17.5) · 7-86 (M Mwatile, 18.0)
Recorded target: 102 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 19/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 38/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 39/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 44/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 45/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 48/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 56/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 58/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 66/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 68/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 76/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 81/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 86/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 100/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 104/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.