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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Gloucestershire started on 59%; Gloucestershire batted first.
Gloucestershire's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazilbw · Josh Shaw 8 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Josh Shaw | 75 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 182.93 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Jack Taylor · Ajeet Dale3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jack Taylor · b Ajeet Dale | 34 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 147.83 |
| Max Holdencaught · Cameron Bancroft · Matt Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Matt Taylor | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Ollie Price · Graeme van Buuren 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Price · b Graeme van Buuren | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
 |
| caught · Ben Charlesworth · b Josh Shaw |
| 16 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 114.29 |
 Ryan Higginshit wicket · David Payne1 fours · 0 sixes | hit wicket · b David Payne | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
| Joe Cracknellnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 14* | 5 | 0 | 2 | 280.00 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · David Payne · Josh Shaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Payne · b Josh Shaw | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Josh Shaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 3 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajeet Dale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Graeme van Buuren0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-87 (Kane Williamson, 7.5) · 2-96 (Max Holden, 9.3) · 3-123 (Ben Geddes, 12.2) · 4-144 (Stephen Eskinazi, 14.4) · 5-169 (Ryan Higgins, 18.0) · 6-169 (Leus du Plooy, 18.1) · 7-171 (Luke Hollman, 18.5)
Recorded target: 205 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 21 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 47/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 56/0 |
| 6 | 17 | 73/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 80/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 87/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 94/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 101/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 110/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 122/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 127/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 136/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 146/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 156/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 166/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 169/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 173/7 |
| 20 | 22 | 195/7 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ajeet Dale: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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