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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
30 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 45%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Netherlands: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hunterbowled · Silver Siegers 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Silver Siegers | 34 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 109.68 |
| Gaby Lewisbowled · Caroline de Lange 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Caroline de Lange | 20 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Orla Prendergastlbw · Caroline de Lange 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Caroline de Lange | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Leah Paullbw · Iris Zwilling 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Iris Zwilling | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 162.50 |
| Laura Delanybowled · Hannah Landheer 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hannah Landheer | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Rebecca Stokell |
| caught · MIW van den Raad · b Hannah Landheer |
| 17 |
| 17 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Louise Littlecaught · Silver Siegers · Hannah Landheer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Silver Siegers · b Hannah Landheer | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Arlene Kellyrun out · Hannah Landheer · Hannah Landheer 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hannah Landheer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jane Maguirerun out · Babette de Leede, Silver Siegers · Iris Zwilling 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Babette de Leede, Silver Siegers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguirenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Frederique Overdijk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Robine Rijke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Landheer0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 1 |
1-41 (Gaby Lewis, 6.4) · 2-59 (Amy Hunter, 9.2) · 3-65 (Orla Prendergast, 10.4) · 4-82 (Laura Delany, 12.1) · 5-121 (Rebecca Stokell, 16.5) · 6-132 (Louise Little, 18.3) · 7-132 (Arlene Kelly, 18.4) · 8-141 (Leah Paul, 19.3) · 9-143 (Jane Maguire, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 54/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 66/3 |
| 12 | 16 | 82/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 113/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 122/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 130/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 140/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 143/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.