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UAE Women's ODI Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
14 Apr 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 48%; Scotland batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Brycecaught · Pooja Ganesh · AI Chudasama 11 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pooja Ganesh · b AI Chudasama | 84 | 122 | 11 | 0 | 68.85 |
| Darcey Cartercaught · Sindhu Sriharsha · JM Willathgamuwa 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sindhu Sriharsha · b JM Willathgamuwa | 18 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 58.06 |
| Kathryn Brycecaught · Gargi Bhogle · JM Willathgamuwa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gargi Bhogle · b JM Willathgamuwa | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ailsa Listercaught · Sindhu Sriharsha · JL Aras 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sindhu Sriharsha · b JL Aras | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Priyanaz Chatterjilbw · Ritu Singh 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ritu Singh | 33 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 62.26 |
Scotland's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 61%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Megan McCollcaught · Pooja Ganesh · AI Chudasama 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pooja Ganesh · b AI Chudasama | 38 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 80.85 |
|---|
| Lorna Jacknot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 35* | 24 | 5 | 0 | 145.83 |
|---|
| Rachel Slaterbowled · Geetika Kodali 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Geetika Kodali | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Katherine Frasernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geetika Kodali0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 6.40 | 3 | 0 |
| AI Chudasama1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 41 | 2 | 4.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Isani Vaghela1 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 4.20 | 3 | 1 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 57 | 1 | 7.13 | 4 | 0 |
| JM Willathgamuwa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
| JL Aras0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 4.86 | 4 | 0 |
1-46 (Darcey Carter, 10.3) · 2-46 (Kathryn Bryce, 10.4) · 3-58 (Ailsa Lister, 13.3) · 4-117 (Priyanaz Chatterji, 27.1) · 5-191 (Megan McColl, 41.3) · 6-200 (Sarah Bryce, 44.0) · 7-237 (Rachel Slater, 48.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 25/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 31/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 37/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 45/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 46/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 54/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 55/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 58/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 60/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 66/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 67/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 69/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 72/3 |
| 21 | 9 | 81/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 86/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 89/3 |
| 24 | 7 | 96/3 |
| 25 | 11 | 107/3 |
| 26 | 5 | 112/3 |
| 27 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 121/4 |
| 29 | 9 | 130/4 |
| 30 | 7 | 137/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 139/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 141/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 143/4 |
| 34 | 10 | 153/4 |
| 35 | 6 | 159/4 |
| 36 | 5 | 164/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 167/4 |
| 38 | 8 | 175/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 178/4 |
| 40 | 2 | 180/4 |
| 41 | 5 | 185/4 |
| 42 | 6 | 191/5 |
| 43 | 3 | 194/5 |
| 44 | 6 | 200/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 203/6 |
| 46 | 8 | 211/6 |
| 47 | 10 | 221/6 |
| 48 | 16 | 237/6 |
| 49 | 5 | 242/7 |
| 50 | 9 | 251/7 |
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
