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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
13 Jan 2026 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Adelaide Strikers started on 39%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.
Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 0% to 40% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harpercaught · MW Harvey · Liam Scott 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MW Harvey · b Liam Scott | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · Jason Sangha · Jamie Overton 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Sangha · b Jamie Overton | 32 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Campbell Kellawaycaught · Jamie Overton · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Blake Macdonaldcaught · Harry Manenti · Liam Scott 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Manenti · b Liam Scott | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
 Marcus Stoinisretired hurt · Jamie Overton1 fours · 1 sixes |
| retired hurt |
| 23* |
| 20 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 115.00 |
 Tom Currannot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 1 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 5.54 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Tabraiz Shamsi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Sam Harper, 2.0) · 2-13 (Campbell Kellaway, 3.0) · 3-43 (Blake Macdonald, 8.3) · 4-77 (Tom Rogers, 14.1)
Recorded target: 84 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 50/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 54/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 63/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 77/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 82/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 86/4 |
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jason Sangha: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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