Jamaica EmpressversusTrinbago Knight Riders

10 Sept 2026 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Trinbago Knight Riders won by 9 wickets

Jamaica Empress20.0 overs100/8 Trinbago Knight Riders11.1 overs104/1 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Jamaica Empress started on 51%; Jamaica Empress batted first.

Jamaica Empress’s chance of winning (%) · Trinbago Knight Riders is the rest

Jamaica Empress's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Trinbago Knight Riders: 44% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.4: M Kapp to A Hunter, A Hunter out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 46% to 55%.
1.5: M Kapp to MM Lanning, MM Lanning out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 55% to 63%.
9.3: K Ramharack to Z James, Z James out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 71% to 80%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.