Multan SultansversusQuetta Gladiators

18 May 2025 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 2 wickets

Multan Sultans20.0 overs185/7 Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs190/8 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Multan Sultans started on 41%; Multan Sultans batted first.

Multan Sultans’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Multan Sultans's chances ranged from 12% to 75% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 25% to 88%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.6: Shahid Aziz to Hassan Nawaz, four by Hassan Nawaz. Quetta Gladiators up from 53% to 82%.
2nd inns 19.4: Mohammad Hasnain to Hassan Nawaz, six by Hassan Nawaz. Quetta Gladiators up from 25% to 75%.
2nd inns 19.6: Mohammad Hasnain to Hassan Nawaz, six by Hassan Nawaz. Quetta Gladiators up from 67% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.