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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
15 Jun 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 49%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardcaught · Ollie Pope · Spencer Johnson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Spencer Johnson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Daniel Hughescaught · Jamie Smith · Sean Abbott 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Sean Abbott | 17 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 170.00 |
| James Colesbowled · Spencer Johnson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Rory Burns · Gus Atkinson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rory Burns · b Gus Atkinson | 25 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 119.05 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Dominic Sibley · Daniel Lawrence1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Sibley |
| 13 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 76.47 |
 Fynn Hudson-Prenticebowled · Daniel Lawrence2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Lawrence | 23 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 127.78 |
|---|
| Danny Lambcaught · Sean Abbott · Tom Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott · b Tom Curran | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewbowled · Tom Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Curran | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jack Carsonbowled · Gus Atkinson2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 24 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsoncaught · Laurie Evans · Tom Curran2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Tom Curran | 20 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 153.85 |
|---|
 Tymal Millsnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 7.89 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 3 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Harrison Ward, 0.2) · 2-1 (James Coles, 0.4) · 3-24 (Daniel Hughes, 3.3) · 4-56 (John Simpson, 8.2) · 5-58 (Tom Alsop, 9.1) · 6-61 (Danny Lamb, 10.3) · 7-61 (Nathan McAndrew, 10.4) · 8-88 (Fynn Hudson-Prentice, 13.3) · 9-122 (Ollie Robinson, 17.3) · 10-130 (Jack Carson, 18.1)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 16 | 17/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 24/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 29/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 36/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 40/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 45/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 55/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 58/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 60/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 64/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 69/7 |
| 13 | 18 | 87/7 |
| 14 | 3 | 90/8 |
| 15 | 14 | 104/8 |
| 16 | 11 | 115/8 |
| 17 | 6 | 121/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 130/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 130/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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